Freelance Geopolitical & Event Forecasting Experts at AI Startup

Role Summary

Lightly AG is an ETH and HSG spin-off pioneering in machine learning and computer vision. Backed by Y Combinator and top-tier investors, our technology is used by global leaders in autonomous driving, medical imaging, and visual inspection.

With a small but sharp team in Zurich, we're looking for analytical and driven Geopolitical and Event Forecasting Professionals to help us evaluate AI-generated predictions about real-world events .

Estimated project scope of approximately 15 hours/week .

Responsibilities

• Evaluate AI-generated event forecasts by assessing the accuracy and quality of predictions covering elections, central bank decisions, policy announcements, and technology/regulatory events using a provided rubric.
• Project expected to begin early July.

Requirements

You’re a strong candidate if you

• Have at least 2-3 years of recent experience in political analysis, macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, or policy research
• Have experience producing or evaluating probabilistic forecasts - election modelling, policy impact assessments, or macro scenario analysis
• Are familiar with prediction markets (Polymarket, Metaculus) or superforecasting methodologies
• Are fluent in English (requirement)
• Have strong analytical and quantitative skills
• Communicate clearly and precisely

Benefits

Work directly with a YC-backed team on cutting-edge AI evaluation projects

Competitive compensation tailored to experience and scope of work

Send us your CV . If you've done political forecasting, macro analysis, or prediction market research before, we'd love to hear specific examples.